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Joined 21 days ago
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Cake day: August 2nd, 2025

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  • Correct on threat assessment, but it’s not about drone attacks only. Ukraine is better at finding out some new solutions (action from businesses + volunteers + low rank combatants), russia is better at copying success and scaling on a system level (government vertical works faster).

    Recent success on the battlefield is them scaling anti-pilot measures. Recent success denial is collaboration between the best Ukrainian battalions.

    But I disagree on economic assessment. Point of economy getting shredded is close. I’d say something is highly likely to happen in a span of a year. It would be faster if USA did play their role and sanction oil/gas, like the thing they stated to with India (which EU did, but USA frozen for now).

    After all, russia isn’t limitless. It’s their core strategy to make themselves look like so. They had deep reserves of artillery, tanks, currency+gold, aviation, fleet - all of this is getting thinner. Like they rarely use tanks today. But you can’t do the same with money.






  • Trump said it’s up to Zelensky because this idiot achieved nothing for Ukraine. Russia offers capitulation to Ukraine - exchange territory Ukraine controls for a ceasefire. It puts Ukraine in a worse position than before and makes it easier for russia to take Ukraine later.

    Ceasefire, because “long lasting peace” being based on agreement with russia, and either this agreement gonna be unique agreement, the one they aren’t gonna break unilaterally as they did with all agreements before, or, more likely, it’s a waste of paper.

    Without Ukraine being in some military alliance that requires boots on the ground means russia will break it. Military assurances Trump is proposing to Ukraine are basically the same level of help we took for granted from Biden admin. And again, not like USA has a history of being fair in promises given to Ukraine, see Budapest memorandum.